Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Yahoo Fantasy Hockey Draft Strategy 2010-11


!±8± Yahoo Fantasy Hockey Draft Strategy 2010-11

As a result up to my former description on Cbs Fantasy Hockey Draft Strategy, I wanted to come back with a breakdown of how you should arrival drafting in a proper head-to-head Yahoo league.  Many of the principals are the same as Cbs (and any league for that matter).  For now, I'll focus on the specific things you need to know for Yahoo Fantasy Hockey leagues in order to draft a winning team.
Roster Limits

The first thing to note about the proper Yahoo settings is that they choose to break down forwards by specific position (C, Lw, Rw), as opposed to grouping wingers, or all forwards together.  This has a huge impact on your strategy.  In most other formats, I tend to focus on goaltending and defense out of the gate; however, in this league, Left Wingers are at a premium.  The talent at this position drops off drastically after a small handful of elite options.  according to Yahoo's rankings and position classifications, the top 10 options are all worthy of very early draft consideration.    After that, you're left with Alex Burrows, Patrick Elias, and Dustin Penner as your beginning Lw.  And you need to field two players at that position.  difference that with the Rw position.  Post top 10, you still have strong options: Kessel, Hossa, Horton, Eriksson.  It's even more dramatic when you look at Center.  Sure, it's great to have a Crosby, Stamkos or Malkin important your charge, but will you truly be suffering to determine for the likes of: Zetterberg, Getzlaf, Carter, Mike Richards or Kopitar.   You can go 20 deep and still have excellent choices like Stastny or Brad Richards.

So, while I still strongly recommend pouncing on a goalie and maybe a top 5 defenseman early, you should make it a point to pick a left winger by round 3.  After your first Lw is taken, unless you're willing to stack the position at the price of other positions, you can wait on your second Lw until late in the draft.  The options you'll get in round 6 aren't much better than what you'll find in round 12.

Flexible players

It only applies to a handful of players, but it's worth noting that any players each season get the extra designation of applying to more than one position.  These guys carry extra value on your roster, since you can use them where needed.  The ones most worth noting:  Dany Heatley (Lw/Rw),  Rick Nash (Lw/Rw), and Patrick Marleau (Lw/C).  Heatley is the most valuable, as he could truly qualify as your top Lw or top Rw.  Drafting Heatley gives you an edge in terms of flexibility later in the draft, and throughout your season.

 I/R Spot

Yahoo has a unique choice that lets you carry one player on the Ir that won't count against your other roster spots.  Take benefit of this throughout the season, and even during the draft.  I recommend drafting a player you know will start the season injured (Markov, Burrows).  At the start of the season, you can put him into the Ir spot and you'll have a free pick to backfill it.  always look to pick up hurt stars and keep the spot filled.

Point System

As opposed to Cbs, which awards fantasy points based on stats, the proper head-to-head Yahoo leagues are scored on an old-school rotisserie fashion.  (Note: this is one major calculate I no longer play on Yahoo.)  This setup affects your strategy in any major ways.

1. Pay concentration to all categories. 

In a points based system, +/- can largely be ignored.  In a Yahoo league,  having the best +/- is just as important as goals.  This makes no logical sense, but that's the way it is, so plan your draft accordingly.  If a guy is notoriously bad in +/- or refuses to take a penalty to save his life, downgrade that player. 

 2. Goons are welcome.

Because penalty minutes are valued equal to goals, why not draft a goon to round out your wingers?  One player could single-handedly win that kind for you, so even if Zenon Konopka  only nets you 2 goals again next season, his 15 Pims a week may be worth it. 

3. Bring on the backup goalies.

Total goals allowed and saves matter not here.  It's all about the averages (Gaa / save %).  What that means is that a workhorse like Vokoun who may lead the league in saves won't necessarily be as primary as a guy who plays every other game and puts up a low Gaa in the process.  So don't necessarily shy away from backups or goalies in a split-crease scenario.  You have to meet a minimum games played each week, so the best strategy here it to grab a top-notch, # 1 goalie early in the draft, then wait it out for your 2nd goalie.  There will be plentifulness of solid backups out there into the 10th round and beyond.   Guys like Gustavson and Giguere come to be viable, as they'll both see a game a week and should register decent numbers behind that Toronto defense.  In a points-based league, these two would go undrafted.  This arrival may hold you back in wins and shutouts, but you'll benefit in the other categories. 

4. Sadly, Defense is irrelevant

It breaks my heart to say this, but in this format, you can and should treat defense as an afterthought.  If you can grab one of the top 5 defensemen early, go for it, because the talent level drops off significantly after that.  Mike Green will score like a forward and so he is worthy of early selection.  However, since defense and offense are grouped together in Yahoo leagues for scoring, they have relatively slight value.  Best plan is to grab 1 elite defenseman if you can early, get your second D colse to round 8-10, then fill up your other beginning spots before rounding out this position.

Draft Room Rules

Unlike Cbs, Yahoo leaves you the keys and lets you drive your car how you please.  There is no restriction on the estimate of players you can draft at any position.  If you want to fill your bench with 4 goalies, you're free to do so.  I only point this out, as it's a dramatic difference from the arrival in Cbs.  Here, you're free to take the best player ready at all times.

Player Rankings

Finally, take a close look at those Yahoo player rankings and play off of them accordingly.  The midpoint Gm will tend to result Yahoo's picks rather blindly.  Be informed and watch for these situations.

 Undervalued

Here are some undervalued players that you can wait on and grab as a steal later than you would in other draft rooms:

Goalies: Anti Niemi, Marty Turco

Defense: Shea Weber, P.K. Subban, Lubomir Visnovsky

Centers: Anze Kopitar, Jordan Staal

Left Wing: Dany Heatley, Wojtek Wolski, James Neal

Right Wing: Alexander Semin, Marian Hossa 

Overvalued

Here are some names that will fly off the board before their time, based on Yahoo overrating them:

Goalies: Craig Anderson

Defense: Andrei Markov (hurt), Niklas Kronwall (hurt), Sheldon Souray

Centers: Jonathan Toews, Tomas Plekanec

Left Wing: Alex Burrows (hurt), Patrik Elias

Right Wing: Daniel Alfredsson, Nikolai Zherdev


Yahoo Fantasy Hockey Draft Strategy 2010-11

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